5 Data sources disagree on various estimates, but we and others have noted a particular emphasis on this number: the size of the white non-college voting electorate. While they remain the largest plurality voting bloc in the country, they are down to 44% of the electorate in 2020. As recently as 2008, white non-college voters were a (bare) majority of the electorate. This comes almost entirely from the decline in white voters without a college degree, who continue a steady decline (in percentage terms) over our entire dataset, and indeed even longer than that. We estimate that 72% of the electorate was white, down 2 percentage points from 2016. These changes resulted in the most racially diverse electorate on record. In other words, it is important that these growing populations are not simply staying on the sidelines, but are able to register and vote at higher numbers, too. Regardless, it is important to note that even if population growth does occur, it doesn’t necessarily imply that voter turnout will follow suit. Regardless, we expect the remarkable increase in AAPI turnout to continue to stand out across different metrics. 4 This is an important point that we plan to examine in greater depth along with recents updates to the U.S. These trends are partially driven by differential population growth, and some of the differences are more muted when examining turnout rate, which accounts for population growth. White voters with a college degree (+13%) grew more than white voters without a college degree (+11%). Turnout growth was highest among AAPI voters (+39% compared to 2016) and Latino voters (+31%), and it was higher than average for all communities of color. Figure 1 above shows the growth in terms of number of votes from 2016 by race. This overall turnout growth is astounding, but turnout grew differently across different demographic groups. This 2020 number is the highest in his dataset since 1900 – exceeding even the artificially high turnout of elections held before women’s suffrage and the Voting Rights Act – and follows a historic rise in voter turnout in the 2018 midterm elections two years ago. On the former point, Michael McDonald from the University of Florida’s United States Election Project projects that voter turnout grew from 60% to 67%, as a percent of the eligible voting population. 3 It is certainly true that higher voter turnout coincided with easier access to the polls, but we are aware of the difficulties in assigning causal relationships here and do not want to imply otherwise. While some of this was driven by population growth, the vast majority of the increase was simply due to increased voter enthusiasm and, perhaps, easier access to the polls. Turnout went from 139 million votes in 2016, to a record high of 160 million votes in 2020, a 12% increase overall. Perhaps the most salient aspect of the 2020 election was the historic level of voter turnout. If a permanent member does not fully agree with a proposed resolution but does not wish to cast a veto, it may choose to abstain, thus allowing the resolution to be adopted if it obtains the required number of nine favourable votes.Voter Turnout and Composition of the Electorate, by Race It was agreed by the drafters that if any one of the five permanent members cast a negative vote in the 15-member Security Council, the resolution or decision would not be approved.Īll five permanent members have exercised the right of veto at one time or another. They were granted the special status of Permanent Member States at the Security Council, along with a special voting power known as the "right to veto". The creators of the United Nations Charter conceived that five countries - China, France, the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), the United Kingdom and the United States -, because of their key roles in the establishment of the United Nations, would continue to play important roles in the maintenance of international peace and security. Decisions of the Security Council on all other matters shall be made by an affirmative vote of nine members including the concurring votes of the permanent members provided that, in decisions under Chapter VI, and under paragraph 3 of Article 52, a party to a dispute shall abstain from voting.Decisions of the Security Council on procedural matters shall be made by an affirmative vote of nine members.
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